My final game of the Blood Bowl regular season is against Ziggyny. He is running Dark Elves, which are generally a pretty good matchup for dwarves in my opinion. Once his whole team levels up a bunch he will be better off, I suspect, because he will be in a much better position to dodge away all the time but right now he has some Dodge but not enough. I will be able to consistently counter it with the five copies of Tackle I have on my starting lineup. He also has four copies of Tackle... but this is worthless to him because I don't have any Dodge at all. In fact his team is only barely better than a starting team against me and my team is a monster against him. I have tons of Guard and Mighty Blow so he absolutely cannot fight me, but he simply doesn't have enough Dodge to be able to run away consistently.
His team is well built for our league where there are two other elf teams, Brettonians, and a Lizardman team. Against those his Tackle is good, and three of those are the teams that are at the top of the rankings with him. The Tackle is worthless against the two Dwarven teams, but I think it is pretty reasonable to build a team to try to dominate the majority of the league and just accept that you are going to get beat by a small section of it. Ziggyny's build is hoping that I get beat by somebody else in the semifinal and he doesn't have to face me in the finals, and that seems like a fine strategy.
Ziggyny is considering just conceding to me. I don't know if he will, but it is a thing to consider. My team is extremely good at bashing now and is ideally matched against him. I am at the top of the league at the moment so if he fights me to a 1-1 draw I still win our division and get a bye into the semi finals. If he wins he gets a bye and I have to fight my way in. However, in either case he has the problem that I rate to injure a lot of his dudes and after the match with me he may be in no condition to fight anyone. It is terrible to be against the Dwarves when the Dwarves are perfectly happy to draw, because if they score once they just have to get the ball and completely surround it with dudes. He won't be able to break in without getting absolutely wrecked, and a 1-1 draw is worse than a loss for him because he rates to get beat up. There is a really good chance that losing or drawing with me causes him to lose his next match, whereas if he just concedes he goes into his next game with a healthy team and a much better matchup.
I think numerically it is clear: Ziggyny should concede to me and find someone else to fight for a finals berth. His team is built to do exactly that.
But the numbers aren't the whole story. Ziggyny wants to play football! If you don't want to play football, then why sign up for a football league? Also I want to play football, and obviously I will take a concession if I get it but in every game so far I have gotten more experience than a concession will get me and won the game, so science says I should want to play!
Also bloodlust says I should play because I can crunch some flimsy elfses under my big Dwarven boots. CRUNCH.
I don't get to decide though. I am playing, and if the elves want to slide their slender, snappable necks under my feet, well then I will just have to oblige them by crunching them. If they run away and leave me victorious, that is fine too, and I will mock them savagely for their cowardice.
Now I just need to wait and see.
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